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101. Distinct Changes in the Influence of North Tropical Atlantic SST on ENSO Under Greenhouse Warming: A Comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6

101. Distinct Changes in the Influence of North Tropical Atlantic SST on ENSO Under Greenhouse Warming: A Comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6

저자

Ji-Gwang Kim, Hyun-Su Jo, Yoo-Geun Ham, Jae-Heung Park

저널 정보

Geophysical Research Letters

출간연도

August 2024

Distinct Changes in the Influence of North Tropical Atlantic SST on ENSO Under Greenhouse Warming: A Comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6
Ji-Gwang Kim, Hyun-Su Jo, Yoo-Geun Ham, Jae-Heung Park

Abstract:
Sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the North Tropical Atlantic (NTA) during the early boreal spring can trigger El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events in the following boreal winter. However, the future changes in the impact of the NTA on ENSO remain controversial. Here, we show distinct changes in the strength of the NTA−ENSO relationship due to global warming by comparing models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) 5 and CMIP6. The impact of the NTA on ENSO under greenhouse warming is notably enhanced in CMIP6 compared to CMIP5. A wetter mean state over the subtropical eastern North Pacific and increased oceanic sensitivity over the equatorial central Pacific are key factors that enhance the impact of the NTA SST on ENSO. Therefore, differences in the mean state under greenhouse warming between the CMIP5 and CMIP6 models can modulate the strength of the NTA−ENSO relationship.

PDF: P2024_6
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